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2008 FOOTBALL PLAYER RANKINGS - RUNNING BACKS

 

The player rankings are based on projected statistics for the 2008 football season.  UPDATED: September 1, 2008

 

PLAYER RANKINGS   -   QB      RB      WR      TE      K      DEF/ST

 

RANK NAME TEAM BYE PS(*) TIER COMMENTS
1 LaDainian Tomlinson SD  9 * 1 Worthy of the overall #1 pick in almost any fantasy football format. He will be at or near the league lead in rushing yards, TD's and will haul in 55-60 receptions. At 29, he still has a few more very good years left in him and will be a top fantasy producer in 2008.
2 Adrian Peterson MIN  8 * 1 Was having a huge rookie year, but tore his LCL 2/3rd's of the way into the season. He was not the same after the injury, but appears to be healthy now. He is fast, elusive, tough to bring down and even with his past injury concerns (college), we think he is worthy of the #2 RB ranking because he truly is lightning in a bottle. 
3 Brian Westbrook PHI  7 * 1 If your in a points per reception league, his value increases significantly. Led the NFL with over 2,100 all purpose yards and chipped in 12 TD's. He is the Eagles offense, everyone knows that, but he still puts up great fantasy numbers. He is 29 now, but is coming off his best year as a pro and should have another great year.
4 Steven Jackson STL  5 * 2 Was a contract holdout, but he signed  with plenty of time to get back into football shape. Only played in 12 games last year as he had a groin injury. Was further slowed down as the offensive line was awful last year because of injuries. Should rebound for another very good season and is a top 5 RB candidate.
5 Joseph Addai IND  4 * 2 Over 1,000 yards rushing 15 TD's and 41 receptions, not bad and worthy of a first round pick. Plays in a very good offense with Payton Manning at the helm. Addai tired as the season wore on, so the Colts drafted Mike Hart and brought back Dominic Rhodes to spell him at times.
6 Marshawn Lynch BUF  6 * 2 Had a very solid rookie year last season. At 22, should continue to improve for several years. Very tough runner who should get around 300 rushing attempts this season. Also has the ability to have receiving numbers increase significantly the Bills just need to get him more involved in that phase of the game. We like him a lot.
7 Frank Gore SF  9 * 2 Was a big disappointment after his huge 2006 season. Still, he managed to rush for 1,100 yards and have 53 receptions. The supporting cast around him is below average and he just does not get enough TD's to be in the elite group of backs.
8 Clinton Portis WAS  10 * 2 Has been a workhorse for his entire career, we would not expect 325 carries again this season with Jim Zorn running the show. With that said, he is still a top 10 RB who will be rock steady with 1,200 rushing yards, 10 TD's and 40 receptions.
9 Marion Barber DAL  10 * 2 On paper, he was the backup for the last three years to Julius Jones. This year his carries should increase from 200 to 250, thus more rushing yards. Dallas likes to run a two back system, so they drafted Felix Jones who will see ample playing time. Expect an increase in Barber's numbers but not a large increase.
10 Larry Johnson KC  6 * 2 Missed the second half of the season with a broken foot. Had monster years in 2005 and 2006, so the question is will he regain that stature in 2008? We think he will be a top 10 back, but Herm Edwards runs a conservative offense and whoever the starting QB is in KC will not scare any defenses, thus they will focus on stopping Johnson. We see his numbers as 1,100 rushing yards, 7-8 TD's and 40 receptions.
11 Ryan Grant GB  8 * 3 Came over from the Giants in 2007. Worked his way up the depth chart and because of injuries became the starter in week 8. From that week on, was a top fantasy producer. Signed a big deal late in the offseason and is primed for a big year. We still have some apprehension because of the uncertainty of the Green Bay offense and how it will perform without Favre and Grant's limited track record.
12 Jamal Lewis CLE  5 * 3 After two disappointing seasons, proved to everyone last season that he still can produce at high levels. Rushed for 1,304 yards, had 30 receptions and 11 TD's in 2007. We see a slight drop off in his numbers, but still good enough for a RB1 spot on your fantasy team. We also like the fact that he is running behind one of the best lines in football.
13 Maurice Jones-Drew JAX  7   3 May not be the starter, but will get enough touches to be a top 15 fantasy back. Should get around 800 rushing yards, 10 TD's and 40 receptions. Has excellent speed, can break tackles and is a true playmaker. If Fred Taylor gets injured, he would be a top 8 RB. 
14 Reggie Bush NO  9 * 3 When Deuce McAllister torn his ACL in week 3, Bush had a chance to shine as he would now be given plenty of touches. Well, Bush failed that test by not once rushing for over 100 yards in a game and enters his third year in the league with something to prove. Bush also missed the final 4 games of the year after tearing his left PCL. Bush's value is in Points Per Reception leagues, because he should have 75-80 receptions again this year.
15 Brandon Jacobs NYG  4 * 3 Jacobs was suppose to take over for the retired Tiki Barber in 2007, but had various knee and wrist injuries that limited him to 200 carries last season. His touches should go up this year if he can stay healthy, but Derrick Ward and Ahmad Bradshaw proved they were capable of stepping in for Jacobs if needed. We project he will get around 1,050 yards rushing and have 8 TD's with 15-20 receptions in 2008.
16 Willis McGahee BAL  10 * 3 Recently had his knee scoped, is questionable for week 1. Came into camp out of shape, Ray Rice who is the backup is playing very well, management not happy with him, thus he is sinking in the rankings. He should still pull it together and be a solid RB2, but handcuff Rice with him if you draft McGahee.
17 Michael Turner ATL  7 * 3 Was the back behind LT for several years, now the human bowling ball will show what he can do for Atlanta this year as their primary RB. In his brief stints with the Chargers, he played very well when given the chance. The problem is Atlanta's QB and WR group are well below average, the offensive line is terrible and thus defenses can key on the running game. We are curbing our enthusiasm for him in 2008.
18 Darren McFadden OAK  5 * 3 He was the 4th overall pick in the draft. He is extremely athletic, big and very fast (4.33 time at the combine). It will be hard to keep this game breaker off the field, but Oakland will probably start Justin Fargas at least early on in the season. We still predict 1,000 yards, 6 TD's and 30 receptions for this talented RB. Will be drafted much higher in keeper leagues.
19 Earnest Graham TB  10 * 3 With injuries to Cadillac Williams and Michael Pittman last season, Graham got his chance to showcase himself and he did just that. He had nearly 900 rushing yards, 10 TD's and 49 receptions while only starting part of the year. Warrick Dunn will take away some of his receptions as the 3rd down back and Cadillac Williams will be tough competition for him once he recovers from his injuries, but we see Graham as a solid RB2. 
20 Laurence Maroney NE  4 * 3 Maroney has been a fantasy football disappointment his first two years in the league. He plays on a great offensive team, but they are a pass first offense. He has been injury prone and must improve his durability. He is not a third down back, thus few receptions. With all that said, there is still untapped potential and he finished the season very strong in 2007. We think he will show improvement in 2008, but we regard him as a lower RB2 option.
21 Thomas Jones NYJ  5 * 3 Jones rushed for 1,119 yards last season, but only had 1 rushing TD. This offseason the Jets shored up their offensive line, added blocking FB Tony Richardson and signed Brett Favre to be the starting QB. All of these things will help Jones and thus we see him as a RB2 option for your team. 
22 Willie Parker PIT  6 * 3 Parker was putting up some impressive rushing yard totals until he broke his leg at the end of the season. The frustrating part for fantasy owners is he only had 2 TD's. The Steelers drafted Rashard Mendenhall who will be the primary red zone RB and take away some carries from Parker. He should still gain a 1,000 yards rushing, but his fantasy point totals will be affected by Mendenhall's presence.
23 Edgerrin James ARI  7 * 3 James put up another solid year in 2007. He has actually totaled more than 1,000 yards and 6 TD's in each of the last 5 seasons. It is obvious by his yards per carry that the wear and tear of so many carries in his career is taking a toll. We see another 1,000 yard, 6 TD season for James in 2008, but he is definitely a low end RB2 at this stage in his career.
24 LenDale White TEN  6 * 3 White had over 300 carries last season while playing with a torn meniscus. That may have explained his low 3.6 yards per carry average. The Titans drafted speedster Chris Johnson to provide much needed speed to White's power. The two should compliment each other quite well. White should see his carries drop to around 250, but 1,000 yards and 6 TD's should be obtainable as he is the starting RB.
25 Fred Taylor JAX  7 * 3 Taylor will be 32 this season, but father time has not yet caught up with this productive back.  He will still get more carries than Jones-Drew, but will not get the receptions or TD's. Taylor has rushed for over 1,100 yards in 5 of the last 6 seasons. We project 1,000 yards rushing and 4-5 TD's for him in 2008.
26 Julius Jones SEA  4 * 3 Appears to be the favorite over Maurice Morris for the starting job. Jones comes over from Dallas where he was a solid player who split time with Marion Barber. We are projecting over 900 yards rushing and 5-6 TD's for Jones this season. Morris will take away carries, so he is a RB3 in our estimation.
27 Selvin Young DEN  8 * 4 Although Mike Shanahan has pronounced him the starter, we are a leery of how things tend to unfold in Denver when it comes to RB touches.  Young came out of nowhere as an undrafted rookie in 2007 and did quite well for himself. Young has decent speed, good acceleration and good hands (sounds like a 3rd down back to us), but we are not sure if he could 15-20 carry RB in the league. Be cautiously optimistic with Young as we see a RBBC forming.
28 Matt Forte CHI  8 * 4 With Cedric Benson out of Chicago, the rookie becomes the starting RB. Last season at Tulane he had over 2,100 yards and 23 TD's. He is a good all around player that should step right in and produce at a respectable level. We would be higher on him, but the Bears surrounding offensive cast is well below average.
29 Ricky Williams MIA  4 * 4 Moving up the rankings as there is talk Williams may be the starting RB in week #1 due to Brown not being fully healed from his ACL injury. We see Brown as the starter, but Williams will be on the field a lot this season.
30 Kevin Smith DET  4 * 4 The rookie appears to have won the starting RB position over Tatum Bell, but may be pushed by newly signed Rudi Johnson. As a Junior at Central Florida last year, he carried the ball 450 times… now that is a lot of carries. Smith is a powerful back who appears to be well rounded in all facets of the game.
31 DeAngelo Williams CAR  9 * 4 Battling Jonathan Stewart for the starting job. Currently has the edge, but when Stewart is fully healed from his toe surgery things will get interesting. Should at the very least still be the 3rd down back with a good amount of carries.
32 Chris Perry CIN  8 * 4 With Rudi Johnson being waived, he will be the primary RB for the Bengals this season. If you are looking for a young, powerful back as a sleeper, Perry may be a very good choice. Kenny Watson will still see plenty of playing time, thus Perry can not be ranked too high.
33 Jonathan Stewart CAR  9   4 Battling DeAngelo Williams for the starting job. Is starting off slow due to recovery from toe surgery, but once healed is expected to share carries with Williams. We would not be surprised if he ended the year with more carries than Williams.
34 Chris Johnson TEN  6   4 The Titans spent a first round pick on this extremely fast back. He will be used as a change of pace back to LenDale White. Expect plenty of sweeps and screen passes for Johnson so that he can utilize his speed in the open field. 
35 Ronnie Brown MIA  4   4 Was doing very well until he tore his ACL in week 7 of the 2007 season. He is a good, strong runner who also does well catching passes out of the backfield. We do not question his ability, but from what we have seen he does not appear to be fully recovered from the ACL injury. We see him splitting time with Ricky Williams until he can prove that he is 100% healthy. 
36 Ray Rice BAL  10   4 As Willis McGahee is slow to recover from his knee injury, Rice's fantasy value continues to climb. The rookie was a very good all-around back at Rutgers last year and will be especially valuable early in the year until McGahee returns to full strength. Spend a middle round pick on him as a handcuff to McGahee.
37 Chester Taylor MIN  8   4 A very good backup, who can run, catch the ball and do well when near the end zone. The problem is Adrian Peterson is in front of him. Be sure to handcuff him if you draft Peterson.
38 Justin Fargas OAK  5   4 Had a breakout season in 2007 rushing for over 1,000 yards, but was injured late in the year. He signed a big contract in the offseason and seems to be recovered from his injuries, but will have to battle Darren McFadden for carries with the starting unit. We think Fargas will hold off McFadden for a few weeks, but expect McFadden to take over as the season goes along.
39 Maurice Morris SEA  4   4 Was given the chance to shine in 2007, but did not come through. Now it appears he will be the backup to Julius Jones in 2008. He will take away carries from Jones, limiting both of their fantasy value.
40 Ahman Green HOU  8 * 4 Strained groin in first preseason game and has not been able to get into shape prior to the start of the season. With Chris Brown on injured reserve, Green will start if healthy. Had a solid 2007 season, but at 31, his durability is a question mark. Steve Slaton and Chris Taylor will take away playing time.
41 Jerious Norwood ATL  7   4 A big play threat, he has averaged over 6.0 yards per carry for the last two seasons. With the signing of Michael Turner, Norwood will be the primary backup and 3rd down back, but Atlanta will get him his touches because of his big play potential. 
42 Felix Jones DAL  10   4 Playing in the shadows of Darren McFadden in Arkansas last year, this rookie was still taken in the first round which shows how much scouts think of him. He will fill in for Marion barber as needed and probably get 550-600 rushing yards and 20 receptions.
43 Rashard Mendenhall PIT  6   4 Bruising, polished back from Illinois. The rookie is too talented not to be on the field. Willie Parker will be begin the year as the starter, but we see Mendenhall's touches and goal line carries increasing as the season progresses.
44 Leon Washington NYJ  5   5 Washington has proven himself to be a quality backup. He is a decent runner and good receiver out of the backfield. If you draft Thomas Jones, handcuff Washington with him in the later rounds.
45 Ladell Betts WAS  10   5 Primary backup to Clinton Portis and is a good receiver out of the backfield. Will contribute, but with Portis getting around 300 carries, his production will be limited.
46 Steve Slaton HOU  8   5 Very fast, but small in stature. With injuries to Ahman Green this preseason, Slaton has shown he could be a useful back in the league. Watch how the RB situation in Houston pans out as his value could increase significantly.
47 Kenny Watson CIN  8   5 Primarily a third down back who will get some carries, will have plenty of competition from Chris Perry who has looked very good in camp.
48 Deuce McAllister NO  9   5 Has missed 2 of the last 3 seasons. Is coming back from a torn ACL, he is no longer the Deuce of years past but should see some goal line carries and be a change of pace back to Reggie Bush.
49 Ahmad Bradshaw NYG  4   5 Don't go wild over Bradshaw and reach too early for him. He played well at the end of the season and in the playoffs, but he was a 7th round pick rookie last season. Will battle Derrick Ward for the backup RB position.
50 Kevin Jones CHI  8   5 Had a late season ACL injury with Detroit and the Bears were not sure if he would be ready for the regular season. He did play in the 3rd preseason game and looks to be the primary backup RB to Matt Forte.
51 Warrick Dunn TB  10   5 Primarily a third down back who will get some carries. Will battle Michael Bennett for the primary backup role, also don’t forget Cadillac Williams is in the mix when he fully recovers from injuries.
52 Sammy Morris NE  4   5 Was playing pretty well in 2007 until he had a chest injury that cut short his season. Is a tough runner who may get some goal line opportunities. Battling LaMont Jordan for the primary backup RB position.
53 Brandon Jackson GB  8   5 A decent backup, but with Ryan Grant signed playing time will be limited. If you draft Grant, handcuff Jackson with him.
54 Derrick Ward NYG  4   5 Talented RB who is third on the Giants depth chart. Even as third RB, will get more touches and be more productive than many backups.
55 Michael Pittman DEN  8   6 With the injury to Ryan Torain, Pittman will move back to HB and battle Andre Hall for playing time. Should have the edge because of experience and pass catching abilities.
56 Pierre Thomas NO  9   6 There is no guarantee Deuce McAllister will be effective this year, thus Thomas should be considered as a possible late round fantasy draft pick. Currently third on the depth chart.
57 Dominic Rhodes IND  4   6 Kenton Keith and Mike Hart will provide competition for Rhodes in the backup role behind Joseph Addai. Rhodes is the favorite to be the primary backup, but don’t expect him to produce 2006 statistics like he did when he was previously with the Colts.
58 Fred Jackson BUF  6   6 Will be the primary backup to Marshawn Lynch in Buffalo. Had 300 yards rushing and 22 receptions last season.
59 Tim Hightower ARI  7   6 Has been impress in camp and preseason games. He appears to be the primary backup to Edgerrin James.
60 Lorenzo Booker PHI  7   6 Appears to be Westbrook's primary backup. Will get some carries as the Eagles need to keep Westbrook healthy enough to last the whole season.
61 DeShaun Foster SF  9   6 Comes over from Carolina, where he will be the primary backup to Frank Gore. A decent backup who is injury prone.
62 Rudi Johnson DET  4   7 The Bengals released Johnson, but he was quickly signed by the Lions. He still is having hamstring problems, but of all the places to go the Lions will give him the best opportunity to get carries and playing time.
63 Andre Hall DEN  8   6 Until Ryan Torain comes back from an injury (around week 8), Hall could have some value as Selvin Young's backup.
64 LaMont Jordan NE  4   6 Battling Sammy Morris for the primary backup RB position. With NE's RB injury problems, they would be smart to carry him on the team even if it is as a 3rd RB.
65 Tatum Bell DET  4   5 Bell was suppose to battle rookie Kevin Smith for the starting job, but came into camp overweight and has not looked good at all. Has some talent and Smith is no lock for a big workload. But, with the signing of Rudi Johnson, playing time for Bell will be affected.
66 T.J. Duckett SEA  4   7 Will be in the mix for some carries, especially in the red zone. Probably the third RB behind Julius Jones and Maurice Morris.
67 Jamaal Charles KC  6   7 Appears to have a slight advantage over Kolby Smith as Larry Johnson's backup. 
68 Jason Wright CLE  5   7 Battling Jerome Harrison for the backup RB job to Jamal Lewis. Has limited fantasy value.
69 Chris Taylor HOU  8   7 With Chris Brown on the injured reserve and Ahman Green recovering from a groin injury, Taylor will begin the season getting some playing time with Steve Slaton. If he does well, it could develop into much more.
70 Michael Bush OAK  5   7 Powerful RB coming back from injury riddled 2007 season. Has Darren McFadden and Justin Fargas ahead of him, but is talented if given the chance to produce.
71 Correll Buckhalter PHI  7   7 In the mix for some rushing attempts with Loerenzo Booker. Only real fantasy value would be if Brian Westbrook gets injured.
72 Adrian Peterson CHI  8   7 Moves down to third on the depth chart behind Rookie Matt Forte and newcomer Kevin Jones.
73 Leonard Weaver SEA  4   7 Starting FB who will also be the third down receiving back. Has some value in Points Per Reception leagues. 
74 Kevin Faulk NE  4   7 Primarily a third down back. His value comes in Points Per Reception leagues. With Sammy Morris as the #2 back, Faulk will have limited carries.
75 Darren Sproles SD  9   7 Primary backup to LaDainian Tomlinson. No real fantasy value unless LT is injured.

 

Fantasy Points to determine the rankings are based on the following:

1 fantasy point every for 10 yards rushing, 6 fantasy points for every rushing TD, 1 fantasy point for every 2 receptions, 1 fantasy point for every 10 yards receiving, 6 fantasy points for every receiving TD, -1 fantasy point for every fumble and 2 fantasy points for every rushing or receiving 2 point conversion.

 

PS(*) means the player is the expected starter.

 

Tiers: Based on typical starting lineup of 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 K and 1 DEF/ST

1 - Elite fantasy player, best fantasy football players at their position.

2 - Very good fantasy player, not quite in the elite class but better than a typical fantasy football starter.

3 - Good fantasy player, worthy of a spot on your starting fantasy football roster.

4 - Average fantasy player, not worthy of a spot on your starting fantasy football roster but a player who usually starts or plays a lot for his NFL team.

5 - Below average fantasy player, starters who put up poor fantasy numbers or backups who see some playing time.

6 - Poor fantasy player, typically backups or specialist players who have limited playing time.

7 - Bottom of the barrel fantasy player, likely no or very little playing time unless there are injuries. 

 

 

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